Coverart for item
The Resource War with China : Thinking Through the Unthinkable, David C. Gompert, Astrid Stuth Cevallos, Cristina L. Garafola, (electronic resource)

War with China : Thinking Through the Unthinkable, David C. Gompert, Astrid Stuth Cevallos, Cristina L. Garafola, (electronic resource)

Label
War with China : Thinking Through the Unthinkable
Title
War with China
Title remainder
Thinking Through the Unthinkable
Statement of responsibility
David C. Gompert, Astrid Stuth Cevallos, Cristina L. Garafola
Creator
Contributor
Subject
Language
eng
Summary
"Premeditated war between the United States and China is very unlikely, but the danger that a mishandled crisis could trigger hostilities cannot be ignored. Thus, while neither state wants war, both states' militaries have plans to fight one. As Chinese anti-access and area-denial (A2AD) capabilities improve, the United States can no longer be so certain that war would follow its plan and lead to decisive victory. This analysis illuminates various paths a war with China could take and their possible consequences. Technological advances in the ability to target opposing forces are creating conditions of conventional counterforce, whereby each side has the means to strike and degrade the other's forces and, therefore, an incentive to do so promptly, if not first. This implies fierce early exchanges, with steep military losses on both sides, until one gains control. At present, Chinese losses would greatly exceed U.S. losses, and the gap would only grow as fighting persisted. But, by 2025, that gap could be much smaller. Even then, however, China could not be confident of gaining military advantage, which suggests the possibility of a prolonged and destructive, yet inconclusive, war. In that event, nonmilitary factors--economic costs, internal political effects, and international reactions--could become more important. Political leaders on both sides could limit the severity of war by ordering their respective militaries to refrain from swift and massive conventional counterforce attacks. The resulting restricted, sporadic fighting could substantially reduce military losses and economic harm. This possibility underscores the importance of firm civilian control over wartime decisionmaking and of communication between capitals. At the same time, the United States can prepare for a long and severe war by reducing its vulnerability to Chinese A2AD forces and developing plans to ensure that economic and international consequences would work to its advantage"--Back cover
Member of
Cataloging source
YDXCP
http://library.link/vocab/creatorName
Gompert, David C
Dewey number
355.02
LC call number
U21.2
LC item number
.G667 2016
http://library.link/vocab/relatedWorkOrContributorName
  • Cevallos, Astrid Stuth
  • Garafola, Cristina L
  • Arroyo Center
  • United States
Series statement
Research report
Series volume
RR-1140-A
http://library.link/vocab/subjectName
  • War
  • Access denial (Military science)
  • United States
  • China
  • United States
  • China
  • HISTORY / Asia / China
  • HISTORY / Military / Strategy
  • HISTORY / United States
  • POLITICAL SCIENCE / International Relations / Diplomacy
  • Access denial (Military science)
  • Armed Forces
  • Diplomatic relations
  • War
  • China
  • United States
Label
War with China : Thinking Through the Unthinkable, David C. Gompert, Astrid Stuth Cevallos, Cristina L. Garafola, (electronic resource)
Instantiates
Publication
Note
  • At head of title: RAND Arroyo Center
  • "Prepared for the United States Army."
Bibliography note
Includes bibliographical references (pages 91-95)
Contents
  • Factors Considered
  • How This Report Is Organized
  • Chapter 2.
  • Analytic Framework:
  • U.S. and Chinese Thinking About War
  • Variables of War
  • Upper and Lower Limits
  • Chapter 3.
  • Weighing the Costs: Military, Economic, Political, and International :
  • Military Losses
  • Preface
  • Economic Costs
  • Political Effects
  • International Effects
  • The Four Cases and Their Effects
  • Chapter 4.
  • Findings, Recommendations, and Concluding Observations:
  • Findings
  • Recommendations
  • Concluding Observations
  • APPENDIXES:
  • Figures and Tables
  • A.
  • Military Losses
  • B.
  • Economic Effects in the Severe Case, 2015
  • Abbreviations
  • Bibliography
  • Summary
  • Acknowledgments
  • Chapter 1.
  • Introduction:
  • Purpose
  • Rationale
Control code
OCM1bookssj0001906169
Dimensions
unknown
Isbn
9780833091550
Lccn
2017446146
Specific material designation
remote
System control number
(WaSeSS)bookssj0001906169
Label
War with China : Thinking Through the Unthinkable, David C. Gompert, Astrid Stuth Cevallos, Cristina L. Garafola, (electronic resource)
Publication
Note
  • At head of title: RAND Arroyo Center
  • "Prepared for the United States Army."
Bibliography note
Includes bibliographical references (pages 91-95)
Contents
  • Factors Considered
  • How This Report Is Organized
  • Chapter 2.
  • Analytic Framework:
  • U.S. and Chinese Thinking About War
  • Variables of War
  • Upper and Lower Limits
  • Chapter 3.
  • Weighing the Costs: Military, Economic, Political, and International :
  • Military Losses
  • Preface
  • Economic Costs
  • Political Effects
  • International Effects
  • The Four Cases and Their Effects
  • Chapter 4.
  • Findings, Recommendations, and Concluding Observations:
  • Findings
  • Recommendations
  • Concluding Observations
  • APPENDIXES:
  • Figures and Tables
  • A.
  • Military Losses
  • B.
  • Economic Effects in the Severe Case, 2015
  • Abbreviations
  • Bibliography
  • Summary
  • Acknowledgments
  • Chapter 1.
  • Introduction:
  • Purpose
  • Rationale
Control code
OCM1bookssj0001906169
Dimensions
unknown
Isbn
9780833091550
Lccn
2017446146
Specific material designation
remote
System control number
(WaSeSS)bookssj0001906169

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