Borrow it
Coverart for item
The Resource War with China : thinking through the unthinkable, David C. Gompert, Astrid Stuth Cevallos, Cristina L. Garafola

War with China : thinking through the unthinkable, David C. Gompert, Astrid Stuth Cevallos, Cristina L. Garafola

Creator
Author
Contributor
Summary
"Premeditated war between the United States and China is very unlikely, but the danger that a mishandled crisis could trigger hostilities cannot be ignored. Thus, while neither state wants war, both states' militaries have plans to fight one. As Chinese anti-access and area-denial (A2AD) capabilities improve, the United States can no longer be so certain that war would follow its plan and lead to decisive victory. This analysis illuminates various paths a war with China could take and their possible consequences. Technological advances in the ability to target opposing forces are creating conditions of conventional counterforce, whereby each side has the means to strike and degrade the other's forces and, therefore, an incentive to do so promptly, if not first. This implies fierce early exchanges, with steep military losses on both sides, until one gains control. At present, Chinese losses would greatly exceed U.S. losses, and the gap would only grow as fighting persisted. But, by 2025, that gap could be much smaller. Even then, however, China could not be confident of gaining military advantage, which suggests the possibility of a prolonged and destructive, yet inconclusive, war. In that event, nonmilitary factors -- economic costs, internal political effects, and international reactions -- could become more important. Political leaders on both sides could limit the severity of war by ordering their respective militaries to refrain from swift and massive conventional counterforce attacks. The resulting restricted, sporadic fighting could substantially reduce military losses and economic harm. This possibility underscores the importance of firm civilian control over wartime decisionmaking and of communication between capitals. At the same time, the United States can prepare for a long and severe war by reducing its vulnerability to Chinese A2AD forces and developing plans to ensure that economic and international consequences would work to its advantage"--Publisher's web site
Language
eng
Work
Publication
Extent
1 online resource (xix, 95 pages)
Note
  • Series from web site
  • "Arroyo Center."
Contents
  • Introduction
  • Analytic framework
  • Weighing the costs : military, economic, political, and international
  • Findings, recommendations, and concluding observations
Isbn
9780833091598
Instance
Label
War with China : thinking through the unthinkable
Title
War with China
Title remainder
thinking through the unthinkable
Statement of responsibility
David C. Gompert, Astrid Stuth Cevallos, Cristina L. Garafola
Creator
Contributor
Author
Issuing body
Publisher
Subject
Language
eng
Summary
"Premeditated war between the United States and China is very unlikely, but the danger that a mishandled crisis could trigger hostilities cannot be ignored. Thus, while neither state wants war, both states' militaries have plans to fight one. As Chinese anti-access and area-denial (A2AD) capabilities improve, the United States can no longer be so certain that war would follow its plan and lead to decisive victory. This analysis illuminates various paths a war with China could take and their possible consequences. Technological advances in the ability to target opposing forces are creating conditions of conventional counterforce, whereby each side has the means to strike and degrade the other's forces and, therefore, an incentive to do so promptly, if not first. This implies fierce early exchanges, with steep military losses on both sides, until one gains control. At present, Chinese losses would greatly exceed U.S. losses, and the gap would only grow as fighting persisted. But, by 2025, that gap could be much smaller. Even then, however, China could not be confident of gaining military advantage, which suggests the possibility of a prolonged and destructive, yet inconclusive, war. In that event, nonmilitary factors -- economic costs, internal political effects, and international reactions -- could become more important. Political leaders on both sides could limit the severity of war by ordering their respective militaries to refrain from swift and massive conventional counterforce attacks. The resulting restricted, sporadic fighting could substantially reduce military losses and economic harm. This possibility underscores the importance of firm civilian control over wartime decisionmaking and of communication between capitals. At the same time, the United States can prepare for a long and severe war by reducing its vulnerability to Chinese A2AD forces and developing plans to ensure that economic and international consequences would work to its advantage"--Publisher's web site
Member of
Cataloging source
AWC
http://library.link/vocab/creatorName
Gompert, David C
Dewey number
355.02
Illustrations
illustrations
Index
no index present
LC call number
U21.2
LC item number
.G66 2016
Literary form
non fiction
Nature of contents
  • dictionaries
  • bibliography
http://library.link/vocab/relatedWorkOrContributorName
  • Cevallos, Astrid Stuth
  • Garafola, Cristina L.
  • Arroyo Center
  • Rand Corporation
Series statement
Research report
Series volume
RR-1140-A
http://library.link/vocab/subjectName
  • War
  • Access denial (Military science)
  • United States
  • China
  • United States
  • China
  • HISTORY
  • TECHNOLOGY & ENGINEERING
  • Access denial (Military science)
  • Armed Forces
  • Diplomatic relations
  • War
  • China
  • United States
Label
War with China : thinking through the unthinkable, David C. Gompert, Astrid Stuth Cevallos, Cristina L. Garafola
Instantiates
Publication
Copyright
Note
  • Series from web site
  • "Arroyo Center."
Bibliography note
Includes bibliographical references (pages 91-95)
Carrier category
online resource
Carrier category code
  • cr
Carrier MARC source
rdacarrier
Color
mixed
Content category
text
Content type code
  • txt
Content type MARC source
rdacontent
Contents
Introduction -- Analytic framework -- Weighing the costs : military, economic, political, and international -- Findings, recommendations, and concluding observations
Control code
954465339
Dimensions
unknown
Extent
1 online resource (xix, 95 pages)
Form of item
online
Isbn
9780833091598
Media category
computer
Media MARC source
rdamedia
Media type code
  • c
Other physical details
illustrations
Specific material designation
remote
System control number
(OCoLC)954465339
Label
War with China : thinking through the unthinkable, David C. Gompert, Astrid Stuth Cevallos, Cristina L. Garafola
Publication
Copyright
Note
  • Series from web site
  • "Arroyo Center."
Bibliography note
Includes bibliographical references (pages 91-95)
Carrier category
online resource
Carrier category code
  • cr
Carrier MARC source
rdacarrier
Color
mixed
Content category
text
Content type code
  • txt
Content type MARC source
rdacontent
Contents
Introduction -- Analytic framework -- Weighing the costs : military, economic, political, and international -- Findings, recommendations, and concluding observations
Control code
954465339
Dimensions
unknown
Extent
1 online resource (xix, 95 pages)
Form of item
online
Isbn
9780833091598
Media category
computer
Media MARC source
rdamedia
Media type code
  • c
Other physical details
illustrations
Specific material designation
remote
System control number
(OCoLC)954465339

Subject

Member of

Library Locations

    • Thomas Jefferson LibraryBorrow it
      1 University Blvd, St. Louis, MO, 63121, US
      38.710138 -90.311107

Library Links

Structured data from the Bibframe namespace is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License by University of Missouri-St. Louis Libraries. Additional terms may apply to data associated with third party namespaces.
Processing Feedback ...